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Time Details
2026-01-13
10:02
MSTR vs BTC: @Andre_Dragosch Says Bitcoin Is the New Hurdle Rate for MicroStrategy, Shaping Trader Benchmarks

According to @Andre_Dragosch, Bitcoin has effectively become the new hurdle rate for Bitcoin-treasury equities like MicroStrategy (MSTR), meaning investors expect MSTR to outperform BTC rather than the S&P 500, source: https://twitter.com/Andre_Dragosch/status/2011016030450049508. He states that MSTR’s equity risk premium should be framed as Bitcoin return minus the risk-free rate multiplied by MSTR’s beta to Bitcoin, which defines the performance benchmark traders should track, source: https://twitter.com/Andre_Dragosch/status/2011016030450049508. He adds that because investors can buy BTC directly without MSTR’s added credit and counterparty risks, any common stock issuance will be judged against BTC’s risk-adjusted returns, source: https://twitter.com/Andre_Dragosch/status/2011016030450049508. For trading, this implies monitoring MSTR’s beta to BTC and pricing equity raises versus BTC returns and the risk-free rate to assess relative value and potential alpha, as outlined by @Andre_Dragosch, source: https://twitter.com/Andre_Dragosch/status/2011016030450049508.

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